2nd AIACC Regional Workshop for Asia and the Pacific
2-5 November 2004, Traders Hotel, 3001 Roxas Blvd., Pasay City, Manila, Philippines.
The workshop is sponsored by AIACC and locally hosted and organized by the Environmental Forestry Programme at the University of Philippines, which is home of the AIACC regional study AS21 led by Dr. Rodel Lasco.
Workshop Documents
Abstracts, Presentations, and Breakout Session Reports
Day 1: Tuesday November 2, 2004
Opening Plenary
Official Welcome Ceremony
Professor Wilfredo David, Chancellor, University of the Philippines, Los Baños (Speech)
Honorable Michael Defensor, Secretary of the Department of Environment and Natural Resources, Government of the Philippines (Speech)
Honorable Estrella Alabastro, Secretary of the Department of Science and Technology, Government of the Philippines
Ambassador J. Enkhsaikhan, GEF Council Member, Mongolia, delivering message from GEF CEO, Len Good (Speech)
Professor Mohamed Hassan, Executive Director, Third World Academy of Sciences (Speech)
Plenary: Climate Change Assessments and Capacity Building in Asia and the Pacific Islands (Chair: Professor Mohammed Hassan)
The AIACC Project. Neil Leary, AIACC Science Director [PPT 708 KB]
Research and Capacity Building Programs of the Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research. Anond Snidvongs, Director of Southeast Asia START Regional Center and Liaison Officer for APN Southeast Asia [PPT 4.2 MB] (Abstract 28 KB)
Climate Change Vulnerability and Adaptation Research at TERI: Methods, Experiences and Future Possibilities. Ulka Kelkar, The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI), India [PPT 3.1 MB] (Abstract 28 KB)
World Bank Sponsored Climate Change Assessments and Adaptation Projects in Asia-Pacific. Ian Noble, The World Bank [PPT 4.1 MB]
Plenary: National Communications to the UNFCCC - I (Chair: Youngyuan Yin)
Preparations for the 2nd National Communication of the Philippines. Joyceline Goco, Philippines [PPT 200 KB] (Abstract 28 KB)
The First National Communication of China. Sun Cuihua, Chinese National Climate Change Coordination Office, China [PPT 88 KB] (Abstract 32 KB)
Issues and Challenges in the Preparation of the Second National Communications of Sri Lanka. Suren Batagoda, Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources, Sri Lanka [PPT 56 KB] (Abstract 28 KB)
Plenary: Stakeholder Engagement and Linking to Decision-Making (Juan Pulhin)
Assessment of Community Participation to Reduce Impact of Climate Change at Citarum Watershed, West Java, Indonesia. Uci Sulandari, Rizaldi Boer, Eka Inta Kumala Puteri, and Delon Martinus, Bogor Agricultural University and Applied Research Centre for Climate and Technology, Indonesia (AIACC Project No. AS21) [PPT 2MB] (Abstract 36KB)
The Role of Local Stakeholders in the Aitutaki CVDAMPIC polit project and the AIACC Case Study. Bobby Bishop, Environment Service, Cook Islands.(AIACC Project No. SIS09 and CBDAMPIC) [PPT 11.3 MB] (Abstract 36 KB)
Engaging the Community in Climate Risk Reduction: A Case Study. Rosa Perez, PAGASA, Philippines [PPT 1.1MB] (Abstract 36 KB)
Day 2: Wednesday November 3, 2004
Plenary: Vulnerable Island and Coastal Communities (Chair: Janaka Ratnasiri)
Vulnerability of a Coastal Township to Flooding Associated with Extreme Rainfall Events in Fiji. Melchior Mataki, Roshni Lata, and Lusiana Ralogaivau, Pacific Centre for Environment and Sustainable Development, University of South Pacific, Fiji. (AIACC Project No. SIS09) [PPT 8.3 MB] (Abstract 28Kb)
Towards the 'Next Generation' Integrated Model for Assessing Local Impacts and Adaptation to Risks Arising from Climate Variability and Change in the Context of Pacific Island Countries. R. Warrick, W. Ye and P. Kouwenhaven, The International Global Change Institute, New Zealand (AIACC Project No. SIS09) [PPT 10 MB] (Abstract 28 KB)
Assessing Pacific Island Communities Vulnerability Using the CV&A Methodology: Lessons Learnt. Taito Nakalevu, SPREP, Cook Islands [PPT 17.8 MB]
An Assessment on Social Vulnerability to Climate Change in a Time of Renovation. Huy Quang Luong, University of East Anglia [PPT 3.7 MB] (Abstract)
Breakout Sessions
A: Vulnerability & Adaptation 1: Methods and Tools. Chairs: Rodel Lasco and Tom Downing. Reporter: Florencia Pulhin. Discussion of methods and tools that are being used in AIACC and other studies in the region to assess climate change vulnerability and adaptation, methodological advances, and areas of needed methods development. Output: identification of important advances in V&A assessment methods, critical needs for improved methods and potential contributions to the UNFCCC's compendium of methods and tools. [PPT 64 KB] (Abstract)
B: Climate Scenarios & Analysis 1: Methods and Tools. Chairs: Roger Jones and Xianfu Lu. Reporter: Rizaldi Boer. Discussion of methods and tools that are being used in AIACC and other studies in the region to analyze observed climate data and to construct regional and local scale scenarios of climate change. Output: lessons for selecting and applying methods and tools for analyzing climate data and for constructing climate change scenarios for use in assessments of vulnerability and adaptation. [PPT 24 KB] (Abstract 28 KB)
C: Linking Science & Policy 1: Supporting Decision Making and National Communications with Assessments. Chairs: Anand Patwardhan and Ian Burton. Reporter: Yongyuan Yin. Discussion of the effectiveness of climate change assessments for supporting decisions that reduce climate risks, their contributions to National Communications, the design of assessments to serve decision needs, and the role of stakeholders in assessments. Output: recommendations for improved assessments that better serve decision-making needs and National Communications.[PPT 32KB] (Abstract 36 KB)
Plenary: Vulnerable Deltas and Watersheds (Chair: Florencia Pulhin)
Impact of Land Use and Climate Changes on Streamflow at Citarum Watershed. Rizaldi Boer, Delon Martinus, A. Faqih and Bambang D. Dasanto, Climatology Laboratory and ARCATE, Indonesia (AIACC Project No. AS21) [PPT 4.3 MB] (Abstract 32 KB)
People and Places Vulnerable to Climate Variability and Extremes: Views from the Watershed Communities in the Philippines. Juan Pulhin, Rose Jane J. Peras, Rodel D. Lasco, Rex Victor O. Cruz, and Florencia Pulhin, University of the Philippines Los Baños, College of Forestry and Natural Resources, Philippines. (AIACC Project No. AS21) [PPT 11.4 MB] (Abstract 48 KB)
Vulnerability of Rain-fed Farmers in Lao PDR and Thailand from Impact of Climate Change. Suppakorn Chinvanno, SEA START Regional Center, Thailand, Boontium Lersupavithnapa, Ubonratchathani University, Thailand, Somkith Boulidam, National University of Laos, Lao PDR (AIACC Project No. AS07). [PPT 1MB] (Abstract 28 KB)
Impact of Climate Change on Rice Production in Mekong River Delta and the Affect on Farmer's Livelihood. Nguyen Thi Hien Thuan, Sub-Institute of Hydrometeorology of South Vietnam, and Suppakorn Chinvanno, SEA START Regional Center, Thailand (AIACC Project No. AS07) [PPT 10MB] (Abstract)
Adaptation Opportunities and Capacities (Chair: Habiba Gitay)
Possible Adaptation Decisions from Investigating the Impacts of Future Climate Change on the Food and Water Supply in China. Lin Erda, Xu Yinlong, Ju Hui, Xing Wei, Agro-Environment and Sustainable Development Institute of CAAS, and Zhang Silong, Water Information Center, MOR, China (AIACC Project No. AS25) [PPT 10.4MB] (Abstract 52 KB)
Some Results of Adaptation Assessment for Grassland Ecosystem and Livestock Sector in Mongolia. P. Batima, Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Shiirev-Adya, Institute of Geography, B. Bat, National University of Mongolia, L. Bayarbaatar, Ministry of Food and Agriculture and S. Tserendash, Institute of Livestock, Mongolia. (AIACC Project No. AS06) [PPT 9.5 MB] (Abstract 28 KB)
Mainstreaming Adaptation in the Federated States of Micronesia and Cook Islands. Speaker Name, Asian Development Bank. Edy Brotoisworo [PPT 7.4 MB] (Abstract 84KB)
Day 3: Thursday November 4, 2004
Plenary: Vulnerable Production Systems (Chair: Daniel Murdiyarso)
Vulnerability of Forest Ecosystems and other Land Cover Types to Climate Change in the Philippines. Rodel Lasco, Florencia Pulhin, Rex Victor Cruz, Juan Pulhin and Sheila Roy, University of the Philippines Los Baños, College of Forestry and Natural Resources, Philippines (AIACC Project No. AS21) [PPT 1.5MB] (Abstract 28KB)
Vulnerability of Livestock Sector in the Pastoral System of Mongolia to Climate Change. P. Batima, Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, L. Natsagdorj, M. Erdenetuya, and N. Batnasan, Mongolia (AIACC Project No. AS06) [PPT 21.3MB] (Abstract 28KB)
Impact of Climate Change on Coconut and Tea Industry in Sri Lanka. MA Wijeratne, Tea Research Institute, Sarath Peris, Coconut Research Institute, A. Anadacoomaraswamy, Tea Research Institute, C S Ranasinghe, Coconut Research Institute, A. Jayakody, Tea Research Institute and N Fernando, Coconut Research Institute, Sri Lanka (AIACC Project No. AS12) [PPT 11.8 MB] (Abstract 32KB)
Resource System Vulnerabilities to Climate Variation and Change. Yongyuan Yin, Adaptation and Impacts Research Group, Canada, and Nanjing University, China, Nicholas Clinton, International Institute for Earth Systems Science, Nanjing University, China, Xu Zhongming and Sun Landong, State Key Laboratory for Frozen Soil Engineering, China (AIACC Project No. AS25) [PPT 2.1MB] (Abstract 28KB)
Plenary: Assessments and Adaptation: Needs and Opportunities (Chair: Neil Leary)
Scientific and Technical Panel's (STAP) Input into Adaptation Projects/Programs of the Global Environment Facility. Habiba Gitay, GEF/Scientific and Technical Panel. [PPT 2.1MB]
Special Climate Change Fund: Opportunities. Effendy A. Sumardja, Ministry of Environment and Operational Focal Point GEF, Indonesia [PPT 96KB] (Abstract 44KB)
Breakout Sessions
A: Vulnerability & Adaptation 2: Regional Capacities and Needs.Chairs: Rodel Lasco and Tom Downing. Reporter: Batima Punsalmaa. Discussion of existing capacities in the region for V&A assessment, present efforts to transfer and share capacities, and needs for enhancing, transferring and sharing capacities in the Asia-Pacific region. Output: identification of centers of V&A assessment expertise in the region and priorities for enhancing, transferring and sharing capacity for V&A assessment. (Abstract 44KB)
B: Climate Scenarios & Analysis 2: Regional Capacities and Needs. Chairs: Roger Jones and Xianfu Lu. Reporter: Melchior Mataki. Discussion of existing capacities in the region for climate system analysis, climate modeling and scenario construction, present efforts to transfer and share capacities, and needs for enhancing, transferring and sharing capacity in the Asia-Pacific region. Output: identification of centers of climate science capacity in the region and priorities for enhancing, transferring and sharing climate science capacity. (Abstract)
C: Linking Science & Policy 2: Integrating Adaptation into Development Planning. Chairs: Anand Patwardhan and Ian Burton. Reporter: Juan Pulhin. Discussion of objectives, means and examples for integrating climate change adaptation with development processes and plans. Output: recommendations for integrating adaptation into development processes and plans. (Abstract 28KB)
Plenary: Climate Variability, Changes and Scenarios- I (Chair: Melchior Mataki)
An Overview of Observed and Projected Climate Variability and Climate Change in Asia-Pacific Region. Murari Lal, The University of the South Pacific, Suva, Fiji [PPT 17.1MB]
Regional Climate Modeling Activities at CSIRO. John McGregor, CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Australia [PPT 4.7MB] (Abstract 28KB)
Climate Means and Climate Variability Scenarios for Mainland Southeast Asia for Impact and Vulnerability Assessments. Anond Snidvongs, SEA START Regional Center, Thailand, John L. McGregor, CSIRO, Australia, Nguyen Kim Chi, CSIRO, Australia, Wirote Laongmanee, SEA START Regional Center, Thailand, Weerasak Weerakant, SEA START Regional Center, Thailand and Jantira Ratanarat, SEA START Regional Center, Thailand (AIACC Project No. AS07) [PPT 12.2B] (Abstract 28KB)
Future Scenario Analysis of Climate Change over Western China. Xu Ying and Geo Yun, and National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, China (AIACC Project No. AS25) [PPT 964KB] (Abstract 28KB)
Day 4: Friday November 5, 2004
Plenary: Climate Variability, Changes and Scenarios - II (Chair: Murari Lal)
Past and Future Climate Change and its Impacts in Mongolia. P. Batima, L. Bayarbaatar, Ministry of Food and Agriculture, B. Bolortsetseg, B. Erdenetsetseg, L. Natsagdorj, N. Natsagsuren, T. Ganbaaar, Mongolia (AIACC Project No. AS06) [PPT 8.8MB] (Abstract)
Baseline Climatology of Fiji and Current Climatic Trends. M. Mataki, Kanayathu. C. Koshy and M. Lal, Pacific Centre for Environment & Sustainable Development, The University of the South Pacific, Fiji (AIACC Project No. SIS09) [PPT 8.4 MB] (Abstract 28KB)
Rainfall and Temperature Scenarios for Sri Lanka Under the Anticipated Climate Change. B.R.S.B. Basnayake, Centre for Climate Change Studies, Sri Lanka. Janaka Ratnasiri, SLAAS, Sri Lanka, and J.C. Vithanage, SLAAS, Sri Lanka (AIACC Project No. AS12) [PPT 4.2 MB] (Abstract 28KB
Breakout Sessions
A: Vulnerability & Adaptation 3: A Regional Strategy. Chairs: Rodel Lasco and Tom Downing . Reporter: Rex Cruz. Discussion of means and modes for regional cooperation to enhance and share capacities for assessment of climate change vulnerability and adaptation and to apply these capacities to advance shared knowledge and support adaptation actions. Output: a plan of action for regional cooperation, including actions to secure resources. (Abstract 44KB)
B: Climate Scenarios & Analysis 3: A Regional Strategy. Chairs: Roger Jones and Xianfu Lu. Reporter: Senaka Basnayake. A discussion of means and modes for regional cooperation to share climate data, enhance and share capacities for climate system analysis ad modeling, and apply these capacities to develop climate change scenarios for use in vulnerability and adaptation assessments. Output: a plan of action for extension of AIACC, including actions to secure resources. (Abstract 32KB)
C: Linking Science & Policy 3: Building on AIACC Achievements. Chairs: Anand Patwardhan and Ian Burton. Reporter: Suppakorn Chinvanno. Discussion of the achievements of the AIACC project, objectives of the project yet to be achieved, new objectives, means and modes for building upon the AIACC project. Output: a plan of action for extension of AIACC, including actions to secure resources.[PPT 32KB] (Abstract 32KB)
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