Assessment of Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability to Climate Change in North Africa: Food Production and Water Resources.  (Ayman F. Abou Hadid, Central Laboratory for Agricultural Climate)

This study will enhance scientific and technical capacity in countries in North Africa for: (1) assessing current and future adaptive capacity and vulnerability of food production and water resources; (2) enhancing adaptive capacity in current and future conditions; and (3) synthesizing lessons learned in the region. The project will compare the results of three case studies representing a range of climate and agricultural systems (Nile Delta (Egypt), Settat Province (Morocco), Center Region (Tunisia)) and integrate the results in a North Africa wide context. Research activities will focus on stakeholder engagement at three levels (farm, sub-national resource managers, and national administrative agencies), climate impacts detections (via empirical-statistical analysis, modeling, and case studies), and evaluation of adaptation methods. One major output of the research will be the integration of climate information, scenarios of future climate and socio-economic conditions, and vulnerability in the form of a vulnerability index that stakeholders can evaluate and determine applicability. This study will enhance the ability of the agriculture sector to interact with and respond to climate information in preparation for the projected range of climate changes through the 21st century and increase the capacity of society to adapt to climate variability and change.

Countries and sectors: Egypt, Morocco, and Tunisia. Agriculture, water.